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Montreal vs Toronto Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the MLS match between Montreal and Toronto. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Montreal has played 6 matches recording 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored per game. Away from home, Toronto has 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game.

MLS
Friday, 17 July 2026 • 02:30
Predictions
xG: 1.74 - 0.87
U3.5 MG 0-3 1
Base
O0.5 94.1%
U4.5 87.6%
1X 79.9%
12 79.4%
U3.5 73.4%
O1.5 72.0%
1 59.3%
NG 53.5%
U2.5 51.6%
O2.5 48.4%
GG 46.5%
X2 40.7%
U1.5 28.0%
O3.5 26.6%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.1%
MG 1-4 81.7%
MG 0-3 73.4%
MG 2-6 70.2%
MG 1-3 67.5%
MG 2-5 67.0%
Combo
12+NG 47.6%
1X+NG 41.8%
1X+GG 38.1%
1+NG 35.9%
1+O2.5 33.9%
12+GG 31.8%
1+U2.5 25.4%
1+U+NG 25.4%
1+GG 23.4%
1+O+GG 23.4%
X2+GG 23.1%
X2+NG 17.6%
Limited data
Montreal (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
2
Toronto (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
BTTS No
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Montreal
V
S
V
P
S
7/15 pt
Toronto
P
P
S
P
S
3/15 pt
Montreal (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Toronto
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
2
50%
% Over 2.5
67%
50%
% BTTS
33%
33%
% Clean Sheets
33%
6
Matches
3
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Montreal (H)
1-15'
5
16-30'
3
31-45'
5
46-60'
1
61-75'
1
76-90'
3
Scored (18)
Toronto (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
2
31-45'
0
46-60'
1
61-75'
3
76-90'
3
Scored (11)

Info

  • League MLS
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Date 17/07/2026