St. Louis City vs Kansas City Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the MLS match between St. Louis City and Kansas City. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, St. Louis City has played 5 matches recording 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. Away from home, Kansas City has 1 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses in 6 matches, scoring an average of 0.5 goals per game. St. Louis City comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive scoring matches.
MLS
Friday, 17 July 2026 • 03:30
Predictions
xG:
2.92
-
0.52
MG 2-5
O2.5
1+O2.5
Base
O0.5
97.4%
1X
95.2%
12
91.0%
1
86.2%
O1.5
85.1%
U4.5
73.7%
O2.5
66.8%
NG
62.1%
U3.5
55.0%
O3.5
45.0%
GG
37.9%
U2.5
33.2%
O4.5
26.3%
U1.5
14.9%
Multigoal
MG 1-5
84.0%
MG 2-6
79.1%
MG 2-5
71.7%
MG 1-4
71.1%
MG 3-6
60.7%
MG 2-4
58.8%
Combo
1+O2.5
62.5%
12+NG
59.5%
1X+NG
59.3%
1+NG
56.7%
1X+GG
35.9%
1+O+NG
33.1%
12+GG
31.4%
1+GG
29.5%
1+O+GG
29.5%
1+U2.5
23.6%
1+U+NG
23.6%
Sufficient data
St. Louis City (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
3
Over 2.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
Kansas City (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Over 2.5
15
Winless
4
Failed to score
3
BTTS No
3
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Louis City
P
S
S
V
V
7/15 pt
Kansas City
S
S
P
S
V
4/15 pt
St. Louis City (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Kansas City
1.6
Avg Goals Scored
0.5
1.4
Avg Goals Conceded
3.5
60%
% Over 2.5
100%
80%
% BTTS
33%
0%
% Clean Sheets
0%
5
Matches
6
Goal Distribution by Minutes
St. Louis City (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
9
46-60'
5
61-75'
3
76-90'
6
Scored (26)
Kansas City (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
4
46-60'
4
61-75'
2
76-90'
1
Scored (14)
Info
- League MLS
- Season 2025/2026
- Date 17/07/2026