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Ulsan vs Incheon Utd Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the K League 1 match between Ulsan and Incheon Utd. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Ulsan has played 5 matches recording 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored per game. Away from home, Incheon Utd has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. Ulsan comes into this match on a run of 3 consecutive scoring matches.

K League 1
Saturday, 12 September 2026 • 10:30
Predictions
xG: 2.47 - 2.59
O3.5 MG 2-6 12+GG
Base
O0.5 99.9%
O1.5 95.6%
O2.5 88.1%
GG 84.2%
12 82.8%
O3.5 74.4%
X2 60.7%
O4.5 57.1%
1X 56.4%
2 43.6%
U4.5 42.9%
1 39.3%
U3.5 25.6%
X 17.2%
Multigoal
MG 2-6 70.9%
MG 3-6 63.3%
MG 1-5 60.4%
MG 2-5 56.1%
MG 4-6 49.7%
MG 3-5 48.5%
Combo
12+GG 67.1%
X2+GG 52.3%
1X+GG 49.0%
2+O2.5 39.3%
1+O2.5 35.3%
2+GG 35.2%
2+O+GG 35.2%
1+GG 31.9%
1+O+GG 31.9%
X+GG 17.0%
12+NG 15.7%
X+O2.5 13.5%
Sufficient data
Ulsan (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
3
Over 2.5
3
BTTS Yes
3
Incheon Utd (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
5
Unbeaten
4
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ulsan
V
S
V
P
S
7/15 pt
Incheon Utd
V
S
P
V
V
10/15 pt
Ulsan (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Incheon Utd
2
Avg Goals Scored
1.6
2
Avg Goals Conceded
1.4
80%
% Over 2.5
60%
80%
% BTTS
80%
20%
% Clean Sheets
20%
5
Matches
5
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Ulsan (H)
1-15'
0
16-30'
5
31-45'
3
46-60'
2
61-75'
5
76-90'
10
Scored (25)
Incheon Utd (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
1
31-45'
4
46-60'
2
61-75'
4
76-90'
5
Scored (17)

Info

  • League K League 1
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 29
  • Date 12/09/2026