Fredrikstad vs Lillestrom Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Eliteserien match between Fredrikstad and Lillestrom. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Fredrikstad has played 5 matches recording 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Away from home, Lillestrom has 3 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 6 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game. Fredrikstad comes into this match on a run of 5 consecutive scoring matches.
Eliteserien
Saturday, 11 July 2026 • 15:00
Predictions
xG:
0.83
-
1.06
MG 1-3
12
U2.5
Base
U4.5
95.7%
U3.5
87.7%
O0.5
86.6%
12
71.8%
U2.5
70.7%
X2
70.2%
NG
64.9%
1X
58.0%
O1.5
54.5%
U1.5
45.5%
2
42.0%
GG
35.1%
1
29.8%
O2.5
29.3%
Multigoal
MG 0-3
87.7%
MG 1-5
85.3%
MG 1-4
82.3%
MG 1-3
74.3%
MG 0-2
70.7%
MG 1-2
57.3%
Combo
12+NG
51.5%
X2+NG
43.6%
1X+NG
34.7%
2+NG
30.2%
X2+GG
26.6%
2+U2.5
26.2%
2+U+NG
26.2%
X+U2.5
25.0%
1X+GG
23.3%
1+NG
21.3%
12+GG
20.3%
1+U2.5
19.5%
Sufficient data
Fredrikstad (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
5
BTTS Yes
5
Over 2.5
3
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Lillestrom (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
5
BTTS No
5
Winless
2
Failed to score
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad
S
S
V
P
V
7/15 pt
Lillestrom
V
S
V
S
S
6/15 pt
Fredrikstad (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Lillestrom
1.8
Avg Goals Scored
1
1.2
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
80%
% Over 2.5
17%
100%
% BTTS
17%
0%
% Clean Sheets
50%
5
Matches
6
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Fredrikstad (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
4
31-45'
4
46-60'
1
61-75'
5
76-90'
7
Scored (24)
Lillestrom (A)
1-15'
5
16-30'
5
31-45'
9
46-60'
6
61-75'
6
76-90'
7
Scored (38)
Info
- League Eliteserien
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 13
- Date 11/07/2026