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Aalesund vs Valerenga Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Eliteserien match between Aalesund and Valerenga. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Aalesund has played 6 matches recording 1 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.7 goals scored per game. Away from home, Valerenga has 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. Aalesund comes into this match on a run of 15 consecutive scoring matches.

Eliteserien
Sunday, 16 August 2026 • 15:30
Predictions
xG: 1.66 - 1.41
MG 2-5 1X U3.5
Base
O0.5 96.8%
U4.5 80.4%
O1.5 79.7%
12 79.0%
1X 65.9%
U3.5 63.2%
GG 59.8%
O2.5 59.2%
X2 55.1%
1 44.9%
U2.5 40.8%
NG 40.2%
O3.5 36.8%
2 34.1%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 87.7%
MG 1-4 77.1%
MG 2-6 76.0%
MG 2-5 70.6%
MG 0-3 63.2%
MG 2-4 60.0%
Combo
12+GG 42.0%
1X+GG 41.5%
12+NG 37.0%
X2+GG 36.0%
1+O2.5 29.4%
1X+NG 24.4%
1+GG 23.7%
1+O+GG 23.7%
2+O2.5 21.5%
1+NG 21.2%
X2+NG 19.0%
2+GG 18.3%
Sufficient data
Aalesund (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
15
BTTS Yes
6
Unbeaten
4
Over 2.5
2
Valerenga (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Failed to score
2
Under 2.5
2
BTTS No
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalesund
S
V
V
P
P
8/15 pt
Valerenga
P
S
V
S
V
7/15 pt
Aalesund (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Valerenga
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
0.8
2
Avg Goals Conceded
1.8
83%
% Over 2.5
20%
100%
% BTTS
40%
0%
% Clean Sheets
20%
6
Matches
5
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Aalesund (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
8
31-45'
3
46-60'
6
61-75'
2
76-90'
12
Scored (34)
Valerenga (A)
1-15'
2
16-30'
1
31-45'
4
46-60'
5
61-75'
5
76-90'
0
Scored (17)

Info

  • League Eliteserien
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 18
  • Date 16/08/2026