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Sarpsborg vs Sandefjord Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Eliteserien match between Sarpsborg and Sandefjord. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Sarpsborg has played 4 matches recording 1 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored per game. Away from home, Sandefjord has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Eliteserien
Sunday, 16 August 2026 • 18:00
Predictions
xG: 0.87 - 0.90
MG 1-3 U2.5 12
Base
U4.5 96.6%
U3.5 89.7%
O0.5 84.6%
U2.5 74.0%
12 70.2%
NG 67.4%
X2 65.8%
1X 64.0%
O1.5 51.0%
U1.5 49.0%
2 36.0%
1 34.2%
GG 32.6%
X 29.8%
Multigoal
MG 0-3 89.7%
MG 1-5 83.7%
MG 1-4 81.2%
MG 1-3 74.3%
MG 0-2 74.0%
MG 1-2 58.6%
Combo
12+NG 52.0%
X2+NG 42.0%
1X+NG 40.7%
X+U2.5 27.0%
2+NG 26.6%
1+NG 25.3%
2+U2.5 24.0%
2+U+NG 24.0%
X2+GG 23.8%
1X+GG 23.3%
1+U2.5 23.0%
1+U+NG 23.0%
Limited data
Sarpsborg (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
No significant active streaks (≥3)
Sandefjord (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
4
Winless
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg
S
S
S
V
S
3/15 pt
Sandefjord
P
S
V
V
S
7/15 pt
Sarpsborg (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Sandefjord
1
Avg Goals Scored
1
1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.6
25%
% Over 2.5
60%
75%
% BTTS
60%
0%
% Clean Sheets
20%
4
Matches
5
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Sarpsborg (H)
1-15'
2
16-30'
6
31-45'
3
46-60'
2
61-75'
2
76-90'
5
Scored (20)
Sandefjord (A)
1-15'
3
16-30'
4
31-45'
3
46-60'
6
61-75'
1
76-90'
6
Scored (23)

Info

  • League Eliteserien
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 18
  • Date 16/08/2026