Mariehamn vs Gnistan Prediction: Odds & Analysis
Prediction and odds for the Veikkausliiga match between Mariehamn and Gnistan. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.
At home this season, Mariehamn has played 4 matches recording 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored per game. Away from home, Gnistan has 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 4 matches, scoring an average of 0.5 goals per game. Mariehamn comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive winless matches.
Veikkausliiga
Saturday, 13 June 2026 • 19:00
Predictions
xG:
0.62
-
0.82
X2
MG 1-3
U1.5
Base
U4.5
98.4%
U3.5
94.1%
U2.5
82.3%
O0.5
77.9%
NG
75.6%
X2
72.9%
12
65.8%
1X
61.3%
U1.5
59.3%
O1.5
40.7%
2
38.7%
X
34.2%
1
27.1%
GG
24.4%
Multigoal
MG 0-3
94.1%
MG 0-2
82.3%
MG 1-5
77.6%
MG 1-4
76.3%
MG 1-3
72.1%
MG 1-2
60.2%
Combo
X2+NG
53.6%
12+NG
53.6%
1X+NG
44.1%
X+U2.5
32.6%
2+NG
31.5%
2+U2.5
28.9%
2+U+NG
28.9%
X+NG
22.1%
X+U+NG
22.1%
1+NG
22.0%
1+U2.5
20.9%
1+U+NG
20.9%
Limited data
Mariehamn (Home)
ELO Rating
1,753
Form
-2
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Under 2.5
2
Gnistan (Away)
ELO Rating
1,924
Form
7
Current Streaks
Winless
4
Under 2.5
4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mariehamn
S
P
P
S
S
2/15 pt
Gnistan
V
P
V
S
V
10/15 pt
Mariehamn (H)
Season Statistics
(A)
Gnistan
1
Avg Goals Scored
0.5
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded
1.25
25%
% Over 2.5
0%
75%
% BTTS
50%
0%
% Clean Sheets
0%
4
Matches
4
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Mariehamn (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
2
31-45'
4
46-60'
4
61-75'
5
76-90'
2
Scored (18)
Gnistan (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
1
31-45'
1
46-60'
5
61-75'
6
76-90'
2
Scored (19)
Info
- League Veikkausliiga
- Season 2025/2026
- Matchday 10
- Date 13/06/2026