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Degerfors vs Malmo Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Allsvenskan match between Degerfors and Malmo. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, Degerfors has played 6 matches recording 1 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, averaging 1.0 goals scored per game. Away from home, Malmo has 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Degerfors comes into this match on a run of 4 consecutive scoring matches.

Allsvenskan
Saturday, 04 July 2026 • 16:00
Predictions
xG: 0.92 - 1.76
O1.5 MG 0-3 2
Base
O0.5 94.6%
U4.5 86.7%
12 79.5%
X2 79.1%
O1.5 73.2%
U3.5 72.0%
2 58.6%
NG 51.8%
O2.5 50.0%
U2.5 50.0%
GG 48.2%
1X 41.4%
O3.5 28.0%
U1.5 26.8%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 89.1%
MG 1-4 81.2%
MG 0-3 72.0%
MG 2-6 71.3%
MG 2-5 67.8%
MG 1-3 66.5%
Combo
12+NG 46.3%
X2+NG 40.0%
X2+GG 39.2%
2+NG 34.5%
2+O2.5 34.4%
12+GG 33.2%
2+U2.5 24.2%
2+U+NG 24.2%
1X+GG 24.1%
2+GG 24.1%
2+O+GG 24.1%
1X+NG 17.3%
Sufficient data
Degerfors (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
4
BTTS Yes
4
Winless
3
Over 2.5
2
Malmo (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
12
Winless
2
Over 2.5
2
BTTS Yes
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Degerfors
P
S
P
S
P
3/15 pt
Malmo
S
S
S
S
V
3/15 pt
Degerfors (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Malmo
1
Avg Goals Scored
1.2
2
Avg Goals Conceded
1.6
67%
% Over 2.5
40%
67%
% BTTS
60%
0%
% Clean Sheets
40%
6
Matches
5
Goal Distribution by Minutes
Degerfors (H)
1-15'
1
16-30'
0
31-45'
0
46-60'
2
61-75'
2
76-90'
3
Scored (8)
Malmo (A)
1-15'
4
16-30'
4
31-45'
7
46-60'
1
61-75'
5
76-90'
1
Scored (22)

Info

  • League Allsvenskan
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 11
  • Date 04/07/2026