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TPS vs Oulu Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the Veikkausliiga match between TPS and Oulu. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, TPS has played 5 matches recording 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game. Away from home, Oulu has 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in 6 matches, scoring an average of 1.7 goals per game. TPS comes into this match on a run of 12 consecutive scoring matches.

Veikkausliiga
Saturday, 11 July 2026 • 17:00
Predictions
xG: 1.24 - 1.70
MG 2-6 X2 U3.5
Base
O0.5 96.2%
U4.5 82.5%
12 79.0%
O1.5 77.7%
X2 70.4%
U3.5 66.1%
GG 56.7%
O2.5 56.3%
1X 50.6%
2 49.4%
U2.5 43.7%
NG 43.3%
O3.5 33.9%
1 29.6%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 88.4%
MG 1-4 78.7%
MG 2-6 74.7%
MG 2-5 69.9%
MG 0-3 66.1%
MG 1-3 62.2%
Combo
X2+GG 41.6%
12+GG 39.5%
12+NG 39.5%
1X+GG 32.2%
2+O2.5 31.4%
X2+NG 28.8%
2+NG 25.0%
2+GG 24.5%
2+O+GG 24.5%
1X+NG 18.3%
2+U2.5 18.0%
2+U+NG 18.0%
Sufficient data
TPS (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Scoring
12
Unbeaten
9
Consecutive wins
2
Oulu (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
2
BTTS No
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
TPS
P
V
S
S
V
7/15 pt
Oulu
V
S
V
V
V
12/15 pt
TPS (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Oulu
1.6
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
40%
% Over 2.5
50%
80%
% BTTS
50%
20%
% Clean Sheets
33%
5
Matches
6
Goal Distribution by Minutes
TPS (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
2
31-45'
4
46-60'
8
61-75'
0
76-90'
5
Scored (22)
Oulu (A)
1-15'
1
16-30'
4
31-45'
4
46-60'
3
61-75'
4
76-90'
6
Scored (22)

Info

  • League Veikkausliiga
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 15
  • Date 11/07/2026