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St. Patricks vs Shelbourne Prediction: Odds & Analysis

Prediction and odds for the League of Ireland Premier match between St. Patricks and Shelbourne. Statistical analysis with Poisson model probabilities, recent form, ELO rating and head-to-head.

At home this season, St. Patricks has played 11 matches recording 8 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game. Away from home, Shelbourne has 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses in 10 matches, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per game.

League of Ireland Premier
Friday, 16 October 2026 • 21:45
Predictions
xG: 1.59 - 0.67
MG 1-3 O1.5 NG
Base
U4.5 92.1%
O0.5 91.0%
1X 83.0%
U3.5 80.7%
12 78.0%
O1.5 64.6%
NG 62.5%
1 61.0%
U2.5 60.6%
O2.5 39.4%
X2 39.0%
GG 37.5%
U1.5 35.4%
X 22.0%
Multigoal
MG 1-5 88.2%
MG 1-4 83.1%
MG 0-3 80.7%
MG 1-3 71.7%
MG 2-6 63.7%
MG 2-5 61.8%
Combo
12+NG 53.5%
1X+NG 51.1%
1+NG 42.1%
1X+GG 31.9%
1+U2.5 31.2%
1+U+NG 31.2%
1+O2.5 29.8%
12+GG 24.5%
X2+NG 20.4%
1+GG 18.9%
1+O+GG 18.9%
X+U2.5 18.6%
Reliable data
St. Patricks (Home)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Under 2.5
3
BTTS No
3
Consecutive wins
2
Unbeaten
2
Scoring
2
Shelbourne (Away)
ELO Rating
0
Form
0
Current Streaks
Unbeaten
5
Winless
2
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Patricks
S
P
S
V
V
7/15 pt
Shelbourne
V
P
P
V
P
9/15 pt
St. Patricks (H)
Season Statistics
(A) Shelbourne
2.18
Avg Goals Scored
1.5
0.55
Avg Goals Conceded
1.1
45%
% Over 2.5
60%
36%
% BTTS
70%
45%
% Clean Sheets
30%
11
Matches
10
Goal Distribution by Minutes
St. Patricks (H)
1-15'
3
16-30'
3
31-45'
6
46-60'
7
61-75'
5
76-90'
7
Scored (31)
Shelbourne (A)
1-15'
5
16-30'
1
31-45'
4
46-60'
3
61-75'
4
76-90'
6
Scored (23)

Info

  • League League of Ireland Premier
  • Season 2025/2026
  • Matchday 34
  • Date 16/10/2026